Yeah, I could use a little of that right now, because this weekend has been bookended by rain delays preventing me from getting on planes. The games are under way, and I'm making a habit of putting up predictions while the games are going on, but I assure you, I am nowhere near a TV because I have to wait to see if maybe, just maybe, I can finally get back to New York...
So here's the picks, because it looks like I got a looooong time:
Jacksonville (-6.5) over Detroit - Detroit can be a spoiler against the spread, but they've finally shored up a bit and kept it under a touchdown, but I don't think that's going to make much difference with the QB situation. He was getting a little bit of a heckling from Chris Carter on the ESPN football show this morning, and I agree. I don't care if he's been keeping in shape, he hasn't had one week to learn how to run the offense, he's had one week with the team. The Lions will not be spoilers this week, no matter how bad Jacksonville is.
Tennessee (-3) over Chicago - I don't see how Unsexy Rexy is going to pull it out over the Titans. Tennessee will lose at some point, they won't run the table, but it won't be to the Bears and lowly Rex Grossman.
New England (-3.5) over Buffalo - I was on the Bills Bandwagon earlier this year. They looked like the cinderella team that was going to take the boys all the way to the big ball. Then they started losing. And losing sloppily. I don't think their season is shot, but I think they need to re-work some things. New England's loss to the Colts doesn't deter me from picking them this week. They've still got it, especially when it comes to their division matchups.
New Orleans (+1) over Atlanta - Everything in my gut is telling me this is the wrong pick, and maybe I should listen. But Drew Brees is playing great football right now, and one of these days the stars will allign for him and will allign against Michael Turner and Matt Ryan. This could be the game. The single point is a joke, I'm picking N.O. to win, and then later I will get my head examined.
Miami (-8.5) over Seattle - Giving Miami an almost double digit spread seems unthinkable to me considering where we were a year ago, but there is a new dawg in the pound, and one of the pups has grown up. Seattle is bad. I mean bad. Before they were down a couple receivers, then it was a couple receivers and a running back, now it's the receivers, running back, and quarterback. Throw in a bad defense and you have one of the worst teams in the league. Also, west coast/one o'clock game.
St. Louis (+9) over Jets - Why the Jets keep getting given ridiculous spreads is beyond me, because they sure as hell aren't covering them (Oakland, Kansas City). Without Jackson in the lineup, I'm a little less sold on the Rams as an offensive force, but I have to believe that they can cover the nine points they're getting against and aging and senile (I said senile) Brett Favre Brett Favre Brett Favre. He is throwing it to guys who are not on his team and making it look like that's the play that was called. Come oooooooon.
Green Bay (+2.5) over Minnesota - I feel like I should go with Minnesota here. Green Bay can't stop the run and Minnesota has All-Day Adrian Peterson. That formula alone should say, "pick the Vikings." So why am I going Pack? Especially when Aaron Rodgers is not necessarily at full health? Because the Division matchups are always big big big games, and in those cases, the Packers rarely fail to dissapoint. Call it picking the mystique, but I'm going for it.
Carolina (-9) over Oakland - Is there any explanation needed? We're talking about Oakland. I feel like I don't want to waste my typing.
Kansas City (+15) over San Diego - Taking the points, otherwise KC is losing this game. But 15 points to a Chargers team that has looked underwhelming at best? They are doing their best impression of the 2008 Yankees by being a team that should be stacked, should be able to make it through the injuries, somehow isn't, but that everyone refuses to count out. Trust me, from the 5 frustrating months I endured through spring/summer/fall, it ain't happening. It's over. San Diego is bad, and will easily give those 15 points.
Pittsburgh (-3) over Indy - THIS is the game that Pittsburgh has been licking it's chops over. Peyton Manning is not mobile and the whole team seems slow and doddering except in short extreme bursts. All the Steel Curtain has to do is contain the explosions, and then play it's normal grinding football and try to pressure Peyton Manning. He won't be getting away from them, and the line is letting the threat through. Garrard has proved himself capable even if Ben sits, and I think this is a game they can win, but need for bragging rights.
Giants (+3) over Philly - Whoever set this line has to be kidding, right? I think there is a distinct possibility the Giants can get beat by Philly, in Philly...but the Giants are 7-1, are coming off whipping the Steelers and the Cowgirls, and you're telling me they're the underdog in Philly? Fine, give me the points, but I'd take them to win even. I'll even give you three. I don't care if I eat these words later (which I won't) - I am saying here and now, I will give you the three back. Giants will win. It will be tough, but they'll come through.
Baltimore (-1) over Houston - Baltimore is hungry and has found an offensive rhythm. Houson should be in a much better state than it is. What I'm saying is. I could not care less about this game, but the Ravens are clearly the better team. They're gently rapping at my chamber door.
Arizona (-9.5) over San Francisco - Arizona can blow open a division that is horrible. They can be in the playoffs again, and they could even win a playoff game. If I thought I would be saying that before the year started, I would have called myself a moron. But here they are, and they are winning. They have a lot of flaws, but I think they can at least sweep those under the rug for the 9ers, who have a way of making bad teams look good, good teams look better, and the best teams like they're playing a whole different sport than the 9ers are.
There they are, your picks of the week. Recap coming soon...
-Jobimoto out.
"Stone. Cold. Lead. Pipe. Locks."
Sunday, November 9, 2008
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